23 Nov 2024
Sunday 22 July 2018 - 09:34
Story Code : 312939

Will China undermine Trump's Iran strategy?

Foreign Affairs | and: In May, President Donald Trump announced that he was pulling the United Statesout of the Iran nuclear deal. A few weeks later, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeooutlinedthe administrations aggressive new Iran policy, which was designed to prevent the countrys emergence from isolation. This strategy, the Trump administration believes, will force Iran to return to the table and make a bigger and better deal that addresses the presidents concerns with the existing agreement. For Tehran, a full economic recovery and renewed ties with Western countries now seem unlikely. But this doesnt mean that the Trump administrations plans will succeed.

For the better part of two decades, Irans leadership has been hedging against international isolation by developing deeper ties with China and Russia. Today, as Washington once again seeks to tighten the screws, Tehran sees its relationship with Beijing as key to remaining afloat. China has announced it will likelycontinue importing oilfrom Iran, even after the United States moves to cut down Iranian oil sales down to zero by November. And Chinese engagement with Iran might pave the ground for others to follow suit, which would undermine the new U.S. pressure campaign.

LONG-TERM RELATIONSHIP

Chinese officials often characterize their relationship with Iran as 20 centuries of cooperation, but the two countries contemporary partnership began in the final days of monarchical rule in Iran. In August 1978, the chair of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Hua Guofeng, traveled to Iranthe first time that a Chinese communist leader visited a non-communist country. Although the Islamic revolution toppled Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi just a few months later, Hua established a basis for cooperation that would outlast the shah. After the revolution, Hua quickly made amends with the new regime by apologizing for his earlier visit and expressing his desire for greater ties with the Islamic Republic. After the Iran hostage crisis and the countrys subsequent international isolation, China became a vital partner.

 



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