23 Dec 2024
Sunday 22 April 2018 - 09:09
Story Code : 301747

Why Iran moved to unify dual exchange rates

Al Monitor | : In an abrupt move, Iran moved to unify its dual exchange rates one official and the other the free market rate on April 11to prevent further depreciation of the rial, re-establish the currency'sstability and empower banks. Why at that time, and how successful will the move be? The short answer seems to be that it was the only viable option under the circumstances. Thesustainability of the move will depend on the ability of authorities tocontrol the market in coming months.


Exchange rate unification has been a long-standingpromise and long-soughtpolicyof President Hassan Rouhani's administration. Indeed, Valiollah Seif, head of the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran (CBI), had on multiple occasionsset deadlinesfor its implementation. Rate unification was considered, however, to be contingent on aresumption of international banking ties, which failed to materialize as hoped by Iran following the implementation of the nuclear deal in January2016.

The rial's plunge was fueled by Iranianswish to either protect assets or profit by betting against the currency, which earlier this monthdropped to an all-time low of 60,000 rials against the US dollar. The greenback traded for 36,000 in mid-September, signifying a decline of more than 60%. With the rate unification, the dollar is now set at 42,000 rials, but the ratewill not remain fixedaccording to Seif, who has also referred to rate unification as the best decision at this time.

Based on the conditions that had formed in the market, forex rates were being set with limited banknotes as actual deals were scant, Kamal Seyyed Ali, director of the Export Guarantee Fund of Iran, told Al-Monitor. The price hike was not logical because the CBI was not injecting currency into the market.

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