24 Dec 2024
Wednesday 2 August 2017 - 14:34
Story Code : 270753

When U.S. Sanctions Backfire: Russia And Iran partner up in $2.5B deal

Forbes | Wade Shepard: Russia and Iran signed a $2.5 billion dealon Monday to start up a much-needed rail wagon production operation.The agreementwas forged between the Industrial Development and Renovation Organization of Iran (IDRO) and Transmashholding, who is Russias largest rail equipment supplier. The two sides will set up a new joint venture, which will be 80% owned although completely funded by the Russian partner.

Iran is currently in the midsts of what could be called an infrastructure building bonanza. Emerging from decades of sanctions which left much of the countrys transportation infrastructure descending into proverbial ruins, Iran has embarked upon a near complete rebuild of its highway and rail networks. The country is expected to add on 15,000 kilometers of new rail lines in the next five years alone a rapid expansion which is going to require 8,000-10,000 new wagons each year.

Reinvigorating the transport sector is a key part of Irans vision to leverage its geographic positionto become a vibrant hub of trans-Eurasian trade, which plugs nicely into China's Belt and Road Initiativeand Russias continued economic activity in the post-Soviet neighborhood. Iran is also a core partner, along with Russia and India, in the emergingNorth-South Transport Corridor, which seeks to create a multimodal trade route that would cut the lead time between cities on the west coast of India and St. Petersburg in half, and has also worked out its territorial squabbles with Russia over the Caspian Sea.

Tossed in the same boat by U.S. sanctions, this agreement to produce rolling stock for Irans new railways is the latest in a string of deals thatshow Tehran and Moscows growing partnership. Seemingly setting aside a longstanding sentiment of distrust and competition, which resulted from various military fracases throughout the Soviet period, Iran and Russia have recently beenestablishing economic and strategic partnerships on many fronts, including energy, infrastructure development, and military aid along with beingon the same sideof the Syria crisis. According to the speaker of Iran's parliament, Iran has alsogiven Russia priorityin any industry it wants to invest in.

Trade between Russia and Irandoubled over the course of 2016, with the sale of military equipment such as MI-17 helicopters and various rocket systems being some of Iransmost sought after acquisitions. Russian oil and gas companies are also moving into Iran, with Gazprom recently being given the contract todevelop the Farzad B gas field. It is estimated that the bilateral annual trade between the nations will soonspike to over $10 billion which would be up from a paltry, sanctions-induced $1.68 billion in 2014.

Beyond the buying and selling of Persian rugs and commercial airplanes, companies from the United States simply cannot get in on thespoils of a rapidly emerging Iran, as the country maintains its sanctions for Tehran's reputed support of terrorism and its human rights record sanctions which haverecently been intensified. The U.S. also holds a large amount of influence over the actions of European firms in Iran, with companies like Frances Total, an oil and gas provider, reportedlyneeding U.S. approval before entering the market. These are moves which leave everything wide open for Russia.

In this era of mass-cross border trade and investment, the way that countries gain leverage and influence over each other is via increased economic activityand jointdevelopment projects. In this fray, the imposers of sanctions essentially take themselves right out of the game and leave everything on the table for their rivals to accumulate additional wealth and power.China knows this; Russia knows this. Putin probably owes the U.S. congress a thank you.

8/2/2017 Update: This agreement was originally reported as an MOU. It was an actual deal.

I'm the author ofGhost Cities of China. Traveling since '99. Currently on the New Silk Road. Read my other articles on Forbeshere.
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