23 Nov 2024
Thursday 8 September 2016 - 10:33
Story Code : 230478

180-degree turn in Russo-Turkish relations caught West by surprise

Russian expert Stanislav Tarasov believes that Moscow and Ankara are sending a "multidimensional message" to the US and EU, signaling that Russia and Turkey may establish alternative economic and political alliances and remain the two influential players on the Syrian chessboard.

The situation onthe ground inSyria has changed drastically now that Moscow and Ankara have resumed political, military and economic cooperation, Stanislav Tarasov, head ofthe Middle East-Caucasus think tank, notes inhis article forRegnum.

Up untilrecently, Russia and Iran have opposed Ankara's intervention inSyria and threatened tocounter such attempts, Tarasov recalls. For its part, Washington also long hesitated togive the go-ahead fora Turkish ground operation inSyria, fearing that Ankara's potential clashes withMoscow and Tehran could provoke a large-scale regional conflict involving a NATO member-state. However, when Turkey launched its "Euphrates Shield" operation, neither ofthe geopolitical players made an attempt todisrupt Ankara's military initiative. Speaking toa press conference followingthe G20 Summit inthe eastern Chinese city ofHangzhou, Russian President Vladimir Putin remarked that the Turkish military operation "was not something unexpected" forthe Kremlin, sincethere are the Foreign Ministry and intelligence services inRussia forits leadership "to face fewer unexpected developments." "We understood what was going onand where the things would lead," Putin said, as quoted byofficial site Kremlin.ru.

Tarasov points outthat there were reports suggesting that Turkey has negotiated its plans withMoscow, Tehran and Washington beforethe offensive; however, it still remains unclear whether Ankara is really coordinating its military actions withRussia or the US.

Still, it cannot be denied that there is a certain thaw inrelations betweenTurkey and the geopolitical players, Tarasov underscores. Indeed, Washington has recently proposed toAnkara that they carry outa joint operation aimed atretaking Raqqa fromDaesh (ISIS/ISIL) inSyria. In response, Turkish President Recep Erdogan said Ankara sees no problem inaccepting the US proposal. "Raqqa is an important center forDaesh [US President Barack] Obama particularly wants todo something together [with us] aboutRaqqa. We have told him that this is not a problem forus What can be done there will become more concrete aftertalks," Erdogan told reporters as quoted byHurriyet Daily News. At the same time, speaking toRussian broadcaster NTV, Turkish presidential spokesman Ibrahim Kalin revealed that Erdogan had discussed a potential ceasefire inthe Aleppo region withPresident Putin and US President Barack Obama atthe G20 meeting inChina.

"After bilateral talks withthe Russian and American leaders, Erdogan held two additional meetings [with Putin and Obama] Ankara received full support fromthe leaders [Russia, the US] inpart ofits efforts toeradicate the terrorism threat alongthe Turkish border [with Syria]," Kalim told the Russian broadcaster, as quoted byRIA Novosti.

"Now it is important toexpand this zone," the spokesperson emphasized; "Therefore the [Syrian] opposition forces are moving deeper intoSyria, liberating new territories [from Daesh]."

Kalin added that ahead ofthe G20 summit, Erdogan had held a phone conversation withVladimir Putin and asked him tofacilitate the implementation ofthe ceasefire inAleppo beforethe Muslim "Sacrifice Feast" (Qurban Bayram), which will start onSeptember 12.

Tarasov emphasizes that a 180-degree turn inRusso-Turkish relations has caught the international community and Western powers offguard. In addition torenewal ofthe talks onSyria, Russia and Turkey have "unfrozen" a number ofenergy projects and resumed trade relations, which had been disrupted afterthe Turkish military shot downa Russian Su-24 bomber onNovember 24, 2015 overSyrian airspace. "In terms oftactics, the two leaders [Putin and Erdogan] are sending a multidimensional message tothe US and the EU, demonstrating that they have alternatives amidthe existing sanctions regime againstRussia and the potential threat ofWestern sanctions againstTurkey," Tarasov underscores. He adds, however, that ona strategic level, lots ofquestions remain open, inparticular, the countries' approaches towardthe solution ofthe Syrian crisis and the future ofthe country. In any event, Russia and Turkey have recently demonstrated tothe West that they pursue pragmatic foreign policy goals and remain influential players inthe Middle East.

By Sputnik
https://theiranproject.com/vdcd5z0xjyt0so6.em2y.html
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