30 Apr 2024
Clapper: Iran still not building nukes; sanctions intended to foster unrest
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper and Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency Army Lieutenant General Michael Flynntestifiedbefore the Senate Armed Services Committee today andreiteratedthesame assessmentregarding Iran as was delivered last month.
The exact same statements verbatim were included in Clappersunclassified report, including the assessment that, Iran is developing nuclear capabilities to enhance its security, prestige, and regional influence and give it the ability to develop nuclear weapons, should a decision be made to do so. We do not know if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons.

Of course, as Clapper notes, Irans ability to potentially manufacture the components is inherent to its advanced nuclear infrastructure and is not an indication of an active nuclear weapons program, which all U.S.intelligence agenciesagreeIrandoes nothave.

As such, Clapper again reported to theSenate Committee, Iran has the scientific, technical, and industrial capacity to eventually produce nuclear weapons. This makes the central issueits political will to do so.

In his testimony, Clapper stated that, were the decision to weaponize its nuclear energy program to be made by Ayatollah Khamenei, Iran could theoretically reach a breakout point within months, not years. His report repeats the assessment, though, that [d]espite this progress, we assess Iran could not divert safeguarded material and produce a weapon-worth of WGU before this activity is discovered.

Again, undermining the bogus claims that Iran is an irrational and reckless actor, Clapper maintained the judgment that Irans nuclear decisionmaking is guided by a cost-benefit approach, balancing its own domestic interests with the international political and security environment. Iran also has a defensive not aggressive military posture, one based on its strategy to deter and if necessary retaliateagainst forces in the region, including US forces were an attack on Iran to occur.

During questioning from Senators following his prepared remarks, Clapper admitted as anumberof recent independentreportshave shown that theincreasinglyharshsanctionslevied upon Iran have hadno effecton the decision-making process of the Iranian leadership, yet has produced considerable damage to the Iranian economy and resulted in increased inflation, unemployment, [and the] unavailability of commodities for the Iranian people.

This, he said, is entirelythe point. Responding to Maine Senator Angus King, who asked about the impact sanctions have on the Iranian government, Clapper explained that the intent of sanctions is to spark dissent and unrest in the Iranian population, effectively starting that Obama administrations continued collective punishment of the Iranian people is a deliberate (and embarrassinglyfutile) tactic employed tofoment regime change.

What they do worry about though is sufficient restiveness in the street that would actually jeopardize the regime. I think they are concerned about that, Clapper said of the Iranian leadership. It is no wonder, then, that Clapper refers in his own official report to the economic warfare waged against Iran as regime threatening sanctions.

Not mentioned in the session, of course, are thedecades of repeated affirmationsby senior Iranian officials that Iran rejects nuclear weapons on strategic, moral and religious grounds. Within the past six weeks, this position has been reiterated by Irans envoy to the IAEAAli Asghar Soltanieh, President Ahmadinejad, andAyatollah Khameneihimself.

Just two days ago, for instance, during athree-day diplomatic visitto Africa, Ahmadinejaddeclared, The era of the atomic bomb is over. Atomic bombs are no longer useful and have no effect on political equations. Atomic bombs belong to the last century, and anyone who thinks he can rule the world by atomic bombs is a political fool, according to a report by Irans state-runPressTV. He also pushed back the constant conflation in Western discourse of nuclear energy with nuclear weapons. Nuclear energy is one thing and an atomic bomb is another. This useful energy must belong to all nations, he added.

Furthermore,reportsthat Iran hascontinued convertingits stockpiled 19.75% enriched uranium intofuel platesfor its cancer-treating medical research reactor gained absolutely no traction within the Committee or Clappers comments. For Congress, Iran is a threat simply by virtue of having independent political considerations, inalienable national rights and refusing to accept American hegemony over its own security interests.

South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, who spends most of his time advocating for new, illegalmilitary adventuresin the Middle East, presented this wholly disingenuous and misleading question to Clapper: Over the last six months, as weve been imposing sanctions and been negotiating with the P5+1 regime, [does Iran] havemoreorlessenriched uranium for a nuclear bomb?

None of Irans enriched uranium is for a nuclear bomb insofar as it is all far fromweapons-gradeand under the safeguard and seal of the IAEA. Irans enriched uranium is no more for a nuclear bomb than Grahams fanciest set of steak knives are for throat-slitting.

Can I just say itsmore?, Graham proffered, revealing that he already knew the answer he wanted to hear, at which point Clapper chimed in. Not highly-enriched, he said, but up to the 20% level. Graham was undeterred from his propagandizing and grandstanding. Well, theyre marching in the wrong direction, he said. We talk, they enrich. AIPAC poetry at its finest.

Shortly before ending the session, in response to questions from Connecticut Senator Richard Blumenthal, Clapper stated that the relationship between the American and Israeli intelligence communities especially on the Iranian nuclear program has never been closer or more pervasive, citing unprecedented levels of intimacy.

While each state continues to maintain its own unique sources for intelligence gathering, Clapper said, generally speaking, the United States and Israel are on the same page when it comes to Iran.

Pressing the issue on behalf of his AIPAC backers, Blumenthal asked whetherallinformation is shared between the two nuclear-armed nations, at which point Clapper declined to agree completely.

Pretty much, he replied.

Why was Clapper being so cagey? AnAssociated Pressreportfrom last July seems to provide an answer:
Despite inarguable ties between the U.S. and its closest ally in the Middle East and despite statements from U.S. politicians trumpeting the friendship, U.S. national security officials consider Israel to be, at times, a frustrating ally and a genuine counterintelligence threat.
In fact, theAPstates, The CIA considers Israel its No. 1 counterintelligence threat in the Middle East, meaning that the agency believes that U.S. national secrets are safer from other Middle Eastern governments than from Israel. This is unsurprising, of course, as Israels foreign intelligence service, the Mossad, and its FBI equivalent, the Shin Bet, both considered among the best in the world, have been suspected of recruiting U.S. officials and trying to steal American secrets.

Did any of that make it into Clappers Worldwide Threat Assessment today? No, of course not. Israel was only mentioned as a victim and an ally. One might think an untrustworthy, nuclear-armed serial aggressor, constantly threatening to drag the United States into anunprovoked military conflictwithinevitabledevastating consequences, all with the allegiance and blessing of Congress, would rank rather high on potential security threats to the United States.

But James Clapper isnt allowed to say that.

By Anti War

 

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