Alwaght- Within the past 15 days, the Israeli regime has repeatedly attacked the Gaza Strip. Israeli missile units and artillery have destroyed parts of Gaza�s infrastructure by firing 50 missiles. In addition, regime�s warplanes have attacked Palestinian houses.

Experts on the issue are trying to figure out if this conflict will turn into the fourth war of Gaza or not.

At the time of these attacks, Israel is also experiencing the Third intifada. Additionally, it is the 10th anniversary of the war against Lebanon and second anniversary of the 51 day war of Gaza, and the Israeli regime is facing major defeats from two major factions of resistance, which are Hezbollah and Hamas.

In April 24, Israeli regime�s Channel 10 reporter covered a news story about the presence of bulldozers and Israeli army near borders of Gaza. The reporter stated this presence and the evacuation of three cities in the region, are beginnings of a special operation. The objectives of this operation are victory of the Israeli regime over Hamas, and complete occupation of Gaza. However, at that time, the attacks ceased. Import of cement was even continued, in order to prevent social tensions in Gaza by prosperity in the field of construction. Previously the Israeli regime had banned the import of cement with the excuse that Hamas was using cement to rebuild tunnels.

So what changed in the regime that led to these attacks?

The abovementioned attacks are taking place during the first tenure of Avigdor Lieberman in Israeli Ministry of Defence. Some Zionist circles believe that Lieberman might start a war, just to prove himself or at least to gain the ability of making changes in regional situations. Experts on the Israeli regime�s issues believe that Israel is experiencing crisis and social gap. This gap is supposedly getting even worse as time goes on.

Tamir Pardo, the former Director of the Mossad, has recently stated: �There is no outside existential threat to Israel, the only real existential threat is internal division,�

The start of the Third Intifada by Palestinians, led to the feeling of insecurity among Israeli residents, and a wave of frustration has been unleashed upon the Israeli society due to the Third Intifada. Also this has triggered a wave of reverse migration from territories occupied by the Israeli regime.

On this basis, it is safe to declare that the recent periodic attacks on Gaza have been a form of propaganda to falsely claim that the regime has control over its security environment. Following the same subject, the israeli channel 7 has declared Tel Aviv is not willing to intensify its attacks against the Gaza strip, nor is it willing to change the equation that is governing the Gaza borders, and the recent attacks were attempts made by Lieberman to send the message to Palestinian resistance groups that his presence in the Ministry of Defense is serious, and he is not under the shadow of Moshe Ya�alon, the former chief of this department. He also added that he will gradually implement his plans and policies. The recent bombings were not merely some ordinary actions, if fact, they were part of Israel�s minister of defence and commander in chief of the armed forces� policies. That being said, the Israeli regime is facing a complicated equation, and it does not have many options. First option is the need for additional efforts in order to prevent the outbreak of war in the current situation. Since the 4th war of Gaza could deal more damages to Israel than the previous wars.

Ibrahim Madhun, analyst of Palestine�s political issues, also believes that the recent invasion of the Israeli regime�s warplanes to Gaza was a limited attack, and Avigdor Lieberman, the Israeli Minister of Defence, was only aiming to show off. However, he did not dare to break or change the rules of the game, in order to avoid facing a stronger reaction from the Palestinian resistance groups.

If Tel Aviv decides to have a massive attack against the Gaza Strip, It will attempt to assassinate the Palestinian figures, or kill a big number of civilians. That being said, it is very unlikely that such an attack could occur in the current situation, as Qassam Brigades have much more power than the previous war back in 2014, and any attempt in invading Gaza, will face a strong reactions.

Considering the internal social and security crises in Israel, it is quite unlikely for this regime to get involved in a full-scale war in Gaza. These periodic threats will only undermine regime�s own reputation.

By Alwaght