20 Apr 2024
Monday 29 October 2018 - 10:47
Story Code : 324944

Iran reshuffles economic team ahead of US oil ban



Sputnik - Iran is seeking to change its economic policies in the face of US sanctions by replacing several ministers, and drafting contingency plans such as a fiscal stimulus package, diversification in foreign trade and investment ties, as well as an overall greater degree of self-reliance.




Kristian Rouz Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has replaced several key officials onhis government's economic team ashe seeks toenhance Iran's self-reliance inthe face ofa new roundof US sanctions. The move comes afterthe International Monetary Fund (IMF) said US economic restrictions could have pushed the Iranian economy intoa recession.

The Iranian parliament approved changes tothe nation's top economic leadership proposed byRouhani Sunday and just several days beforea US crackdown onIranian oil exports takes effect. For his part, Rouhani has claimed the US is "isolated" inits urge torestrict Iran's foreign trade.

The Iranian president also touted the EU's intent tomaintain economic ties withIran inthe new economic reality.
"It does not happen often that the US makes a decision and its traditional allies abandon it," Rouhani said inhis address tothe parliament.


Rouhani has appointed technocrat economist Farhad Dejpasand asIran's new Minister ofEconomics and Finance. Dejpasand, alongwith his new team, are expected tofind a way tomaintain Iran's economic stability inthe face ofan expected decline inoil revenues.

Other officials appointed byRouhani include a new Labor Minister, aswell asnew chiefs inthe Industry and Roads Ministries.

Some economists have said Iran is seeking tooffset the looming decline inexports revenues byincreasing its domestic tax and manufacturing base. Tehran has recently ramped upits domestic investment ininfrastructure and the industrial sector inthe form offiscal stimulus byramping upits budget spending.

However, it remains unclear how the new Iranian economic team will mitigate the initial shock ofa dramatic decline inoil revenues.

Earlier this month, the IMF said the Iranian economy could contract byas much as1.5 percent in2018 due tothe projected slump inoil revenues. IMF economists said Iran's recession could deepen to3.6 percent next year.

This is compared tothe IMF's previous estimates ofa 4-percent GDP expansion inIran this year and next.

For its part, the EU has sought toestablish a new payment system inorder tocontinue 'business asusual" withIran despitea massive outflow ofdollar liquidity fromthe Iranian economy. European countries have reiteratedeconomic relations withIranare crucial tosome oftheir multinational companies.

Meanwhile, Rouhani also urged national unity inthe face ofeconomic standoff withthe US.
"Our main enemy, America, faces us witha drawn sword and we have tofight it and we have tounite. Regardless offactions we are all part ofthe Iranian nation," Rouhani said.


Rouhani's statement comes asthe government ofthe Islamic Republic appears tobe divided overhow toaddress the challenges posed byUS sanctions.

Some Iranian hardliners have urged a greater degree ofself-reliance, attimes going asfar asrejecting the prospect ofcooperating withthe EU.

Iran's moderates, onthe contrary, are urging deeper ties betweenIran, the EU, Russia, and China inhopes that a possible increase inmultilateral trade and investment could help the Islamic Republic withstand US restrictions.

Rouhani is trying tostrike a compromise betweenthese factions torally greater support forhis policies both inTehran and acrossthe country.
"Russia, China, India, the European Union, and some African and Latin American countries are our friends," Rouhani said. "We have towork withthem and attract investments."


The new roundofUS sanctions againstIranis set togo intoeffect onNovember 4, withthe ultimate goal ofbringing Iranian oil exports tozero.

Trump administration officials said the sanctions could be subject toreview if the Islamic Republic changes some ofits foreign policies, and engages incomprehensive nuclear talks inline withthe UN's Non-Proliferation Regime.

But Iranian officials have so far rejected such calls.
"By bringing upa discussion ofmissiles and other issues they are not followingan appropriate path," Chairman ofIran's Assembly ofExperts Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati said.


Amid the ongoing geo-political standoff, international energy markets are facing the prospect ofa further decline inoil supply, which could provide additional boost tothe oil prices. So far, however, international investors have already priced inthe most obvious effects ofthese new Iran sanctions buteconomic uncertainty stemming fromUS-Middle East relations still lingers.

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