IRNA – The three issues of the nuclear deal, the Iranian missiles, and Iran’s role in the region are among the most important challenges of the EU, the US, and their key allies, i.e. the Saudis and the Zionist regime. While the European policy is to keep the nuclear deal and to limit Iran’s leverage and missile power, the US policy is to destroy the deal and the missile power, and to change the Islamic Establishment in Iran.
On the Contrary, Iran is after expanding its missile power and regional stance, as well as safeguarding the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, also known as Iran nuclear deal. Referring to the UN report, the US and the EU condemned Iran’s non compliance with the arms embargo on Yemen. The statement was published one day after the Russian Federation vetoed the UK draft resolution against Yemen and Iran. The four countries claimed that Iran’s actions pose ‘serious risks to peace and stability in the region’.
The statement was issued while US President Donald Trump had already announced that if the US Congress and the EU don’t accept his conditions about the JCPOA, he will quit it. Trump is going to decide about reaffirming or rejecting sanctions suspension, that is life or death of the JCPOA, in the coming May. The chances of passing a bill in the Congress against the JCPOA are pretty remote; the Democrats won’t brook it.
France is acting as the leader of the EU in its talks with Iran and the US regarding the JCPOA, regional issues and the missiles; in addition, the Europeans are lobbying in Washington to keep the JCPOA.
During his visit to Tehran, French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian will talk to the Iranian authorities about Trump’s four conditions to keep the JCPOA and the regional issues.
The timing of Le Drian’s trip to Iran is well-measured; the outcomes of the talks in Tehran will have important effects on the future developments, because at the same time with the French foreign minister’s visit to Tehran, the prime minister of the Zionist regime Benjamin Netanyahu is to make a visit to the US to deliver a speech in American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC).
AIPAC annual session is actually a congress of the Zionists that takes place in Washington; it is participated by two or three thousand-man army of very influential elements of international Zionists alongside the most influential US figures.
According to Hoyle, Israeli prime minister, the US president, and Vice President Mike Pence will be in the speakers of the session. It is predictable that the most important issue covered in the meeting will be the JCPOA and Iran’s role in the region.
However, the most important point here is that, in the one week dialog with the White House, the Pentagon, the Foggy Bottom, the Congress, think tanks, and media, the Zionist figures will try to plow Washington against Iran.
Two weeks after the AIPAC meeting, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammad ben Samlan will have a visit to the US. He always goes to the US with full pockets. This time he is taking a 100-billion dollar package to buy a nuclear power plant. His goal is to make Washington accept nuclear industry, including enrichment and heavy water, like that of Iran [in Saudi Arabia] or make them annul the JCPOA to fight the nuclear industry in Iran.
In any case, the three important events will be the peak of attempts of anti-Iranian Israel, American neocons, and the Saudi-UAE axis to pave the way for the US to quit the JCPOA, and take more actions against Iran, such as imposing new wide-range sanctions and combating Iran’s regional role. One month after the three events, French President Emanuel Macron will visit the US.
Among the European leaders, Macron has the closest relations with Trump, bar none. One can surely say that Netanyahu is the most influential leader in the world on Trump, and Macron is the most influential European one. During the visit of President Hassan Rouhani to New York to take part in the UN General Assembly, it was Macron who insisted that Iranian and US presidents meet, but President Rouhani turned him down.
A few days ago, an official in the US Department of State said that Trump won’t reaffirm the sanctions suspension in May, which means that would be death of the landmark deal. However, the outcome of Macron-Trump talks will have an important role in the fate of the JCPOA because two years after the visit the US president must vote for or against the suspension of Iran sanctions.
The conditions in Washington are still shaky; the US Department of State is internally pseudo-chaotic; National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster is dealing with such serious headaches and challenges that he may resign. Hence the two defenders of the JCPOA in the US are in trouble.
The Saudi and Israeli lobbies are trying to replace McMaster with John Bolton, who is one of the most anti-Iranian figures of neocons and an ally to the Zionist lobby, Saudi Arabia, and the MKO terrorists.
For now, the most stable defender of the JCPOA is Pentagon’s General Jim Matis, but the axis of Netanyahu-Kushner (Trump’s son-in-law) has more influence on Trump. The chaotic situation in the US makes things easier for the anti-Iranian lobbies.
On the other hand, Netanyahu is charged with corruption in Israel, and the Saudi crown prince is fighting with huge problems in his country. Therefore, the two politicians may want to create a challenge for Iran to have a safe margin at home.
Last but not least, if Macrons holds something in store from the EU-Tehran talks, especially from Le Drian’s trip to Iran, he might be able to balance the White House’s decisions.
Hence, with regards to so important factors, it is advisable that Tehran have an appropriate plan for negotiations with Le Drian.
*Author: Hossein Mousavian, a former Iranian diplomat and a present researcher at Princeton University, US