24 Apr 2024
Sputnik News- By May 22, Russia, Turkey, and Iran, the guarantors of the Syrian ceasefire, have to complete the final geographic division of the four safe zones in Syria, also referred to as "de-escalation zones". Sputnik has delved into the details of the suggested plan and its difference from the similar initiatives of the US and Turkey.

An agreement toset upthe safe zones inSyria came intoeffect a week ago, atmidnight onSaturday, May 6, local time, (22:00 GMT onMay 5).

By May 22, Russia, Turkey, and Iran, the guarantors ofthe initiative, who authorized the memo creating the safe zones duringSyria talks inKazakhstan's capital, Astana onMay 4, have tocomplete the final geographic division ofthe four areas.

According tothe memorandum, the preparation ofthe maps ofthe de-escalation areas and security zones should be completed byJune 4, 2017. By the same date, the Guarantors should separate the armed opposition groups fromthe terrorist groups DAESH/ISIL/Islamic State, al-Nusra Front and all other individuals, groups, undertakings and entities associated withAl-Qaeda or DAESH/ISIL//Islamic State.

The zones are located inthe Idlib Governorate and parts ofneighboring Latakia, Aleppo and Hama provinces; inthe northern part ofHoms province; inthe Damascus neighborhood ofEastern Ghouta, and inparts ofsouthern Deraa and Quneitra provinces bordering Jordan.

Thus, byMay 22, the working group ofthe representatives ofthe guarantor states has todefine the areas withinthe abovesafe zones which are still undercontrol ofterrorists and exclude them fromthe ceasefire agreement. So far, it is only known forcertain that Eastern Ghouta municipalityof Qaboun, inthe neighborhood ofDamascus, which is still controlled byal-Nusra and fromwhere they are shelling onthe dwelling areas ofDamascus, will be excluded fromthis safe zone.

The Plan ofRussia, Turkey and Iran

The plan suggests that withinthe lines ofthe de-escalation areas hostilities betweenthe conflicting parties (the government ofthe Syrian Arab Republic and the armed opposition groups that have joined and will join the ceasefire regime) withthe use ofany kinds ofweapons, including aerial assets, should be ceased.

Checkpoints and observation posts are tobe positioned alongthe de-escalation lines withinthe safe zones, according tothe document. They will provide free movement ofunarmed civilians and humanitarian access tothe areas, underguarantor states control.

Russian delegation head atAstana talks and Special Presidential Representative forSyria Alexander Lavrentyev said that Russia was ready tosend its observers tothe safe zones inSyria and did not rule outother countries taking part inmonitoring de-escalation.

Chief ofthe Russian General Staff's Main Operational Directorate Col. Gen. Sergei Rudskoy said that the work ofcheckpoints and observation posts will be undercontrol ofRussia, Turkey and Iran. Under mutual agreement ofthe three countries, they can draw inunits ofother countries.

The memorandum stated that the creation ofthe de-escalation areas and security zones is a temporary measure, the duration ofwhich will initially be 6 months and will be automatically extended onthe basis ofconsensus ofthe Guarantors.

Syrias President Bashar Assad has recently said that he believes that the internationally agreed de-escalation zones are a real opportunity tofinally achieve peace inhis war-torn country, saying, all previous initiatives have failed due tosome states hindering peace bypursuing own political goals.
The "foremost" aim ofthe de-escalation or safe zones is toprotect peaceful civilians, butAssad said they also provide armed militants withan opening "to enter intoa truce withthe government."


"This is a chance fora person withweapons inhand topause tothink. In other words, if they lay downarms, amnesty would follow," the Syrian president said inan interview withBelarusian ONT television aired onThursday.

Turkey's Earlier Initiative

It should be noted however that the idea ofthe safe zones inSyria is not new. It was earlier voiced byTurkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. However Ankara's major task initially was not the settlement ofthe Syrian conflict butrather enduring ofits own security and the setup ofcontrol overthe border territories.

With this very purpose it launched its Operation Euphrates Shield inAugust 2016, planning tosqueeze Kurdish units outof northern Syrian territories. This task however has been fulfilled only partially.

Trump's Ideas

Back inJanuary, US President Donald Trump promised to "do safe zones inSyria" forrefugees fleeing violence inthe war-torn country. He was then expected tosign a draft order tothe Pentagon and the State Department toproduce a plan toprovide safe areas inSyria and inthe surrounding region inwhich Syrian nationals displaced fromtheir homeland can await firm settlement, such asrepatriation or potential third-country resettlement.

The Turkish government had long pressed Obama, withoutsuccess, forcreation ofa no-fly zone inSyria onits border withTurkey.

US military officials had long warned that the creation ofno-fly zones insideSyria would require a large number ofadditional resources beyondthe fight againstIslamic State (Daesh).

On the campaign trail, Trump gave no details asto how he might go aboutcreating such havens, exceptto say that he would ask Gulf states tohelp pay.

In February, the US leader reiterated that the Gulf States should pay forthese safe zones.

"We do owe $20 trillion. Okay. So we're going tohave the Gulf states pay forthose safe zones. They've got nothing, butmoney," he then said.

Will the Americans, Israelis and Saudis Join In?
Hence the main difference ofthe document signed byRussia, Iran and Turkey inAstana is that it is aimed ata complex settlement ofthe situation inSyria. While Washington's effort was aimed attacking only one problem the refugee influx into Europe and the US.


The US is now studying the terms ofthe memorandum. US Secretary ofDefense James Mattis has recently questioned the Russian-sponsored plan saying that it "poses many unanswered questions, including whether it would be effective."

"The devil is always inthe details, right? So we have tolook atthe details, see if we can work them out, see if we think they're going tobe effective," the Pentagon head told journalists onMonday.

The agreement betweenMoscow, Tehran and Ankara presumes the cessation ofairstrikes inSyria. However the US State Department has said the US military won't join this moratorium.
Israel seems tohave a similar position onthe issue. Recently Saudi-owned broadcaster Al Arabiya reported that the Israeli authorities informed Moscow that Israel will strike onSyrian territory "in case ofnecessity."


It cited its Israeli sources assaying that "attack will be done when attempts totransfer weapons tothe Lebanese paramilitary group Hezbollah, or if Iran and Hezbollah tocreate a new front inthe Syrian part ofthe Golan Heights."
The Saudi authorities however have fully supported the document signed inAstana. They probably did not likeTrump's idea topay forthe safe zones inSyria and rushed tosupport the alternative project.

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