20 Apr 2024
Tuesday 1 November 2016 - 11:22
Story Code : 237306

Why OPEC still cant get Iran to cut oil production

OPEC members have in recent months repeatedly met to discuss production cuts. The cartels members are suffering from the dramatic decline in oil prices over the past two years, which has seen crude dropping to between $40 and $50 per barrel from more than $100 in 2014. This has caused tremendous pressure on both government budgets and economies of oil exporting countries.


Faced with these challenges, OPEC members finally agreed in a September meeting in Algeria to cut production in principle. Exact quotas remain to be negotiated, which is the subject of an upcoming meeting in late November. While other OPEC members still need to agree on production quotas, Iran together with Libya and Nigeria was granted an exemption. This comes as Tehran has repeatedly expressed its unwillingness to accept any reduction of its oil output.

In August, Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said, Iran will cooperate with OPEC to help the oil market recover, but expects others to respect its rights to regain its lost share of the market. Irans hesitation to cut production alongside other OPEC countries can be explained by a number of factors, reflecting a melange of political and economic aspects.

First, there is domestic pressure on President Hassan Rouhanis administration to show that the nuclear deal is benefitting the country. Rouhani, who is seeking re-election next year, was elected on his promises of a nuclear deal and economic recovery. On the former, his administration delivered. On the latter, matters are less clear-cut. Inflation has been successfully reigned in and the country is back on the path of growth. However, the vast majority of Iranians have yet to see a substantial improvement in living conditions. Realistically, fundamental change in this regard is only likely in the long run. Sanctions relief is complicated, and the Iranian economy is in dire need of structural reforms. Thus, next to signing high-profile contracts with major Western companies, bringing back oil production to pre-sanctions levels serves as a symbol of the nuclear deals positive effects for Iran.

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