Alwaght- Over the past 5 to 10 years, West Asia region has been scene to the greatest ever changes. The region has witnessed eruption of fresh crises on a daily basis. Meanwhile, with rise of ISIS terrorist group and the gradual expansion of range of it activity the sectarianism was fueled in an unprecedented way, with many countries in the region now at risk of being broken up into pieces.

The crises are so deep and weighty that we can claim that not only West Asia region is not under global influences but also very likely the region will determine if the other regions in the world will have a good or bad future. In other words, any scenario for West Asia will have huge reflections on the other parts of the globe. In fact, the region�s disputes by no means are restricted to the region itself.

In such conditions, it seems that three leading tendencies are in the making in West Asia. They can have unpredicted consequences for the region in separation, and also for the other parts of the world in the long run.

1. Moving from state-governed political systems to governance systems with non-state actors. The weak governing structures in West Asia prepared the ground for non-state actors' gaining power, and consequently the administrative nature of the state has given place to religious, cultural, and other natures. This is especially noticeable in countries that are grappling with violence, like Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, as in more stable countries of the region like Lebanon, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia this can be seen, too. Or for example we see a local government in Gaza led by Hamas movement just apart from Ramallah-based Palestinian Authority. Despite all of the big efforts for replacing the old governance systems with modern ones in the region, this looks unfeasible in the short run. The required preparations must be made before any steps for modernization of the state and introduction of new governing mechanisms.

2. Increased short-lasting coalitions with volatile and fragile bases. Due to the region�s chaotic conditions, all of the actors are inclined to rely majorly on short-term cooperation deals. For example, in Syria the alliances between a diversity of actors are deeply relying on advances and triumphs in the battlegrounds and foreign sides' supports.

This fragility in coalitions and relations is also observable when it comes to the countries as bigger entities. For example, the Iranian nuclear deal with the global powers is designed for only 15 years. So, the new conditions dictate to the countries to sign short-term deals.

3. Using smartness as the means to achieve strategic goals. The recent decade can be labeled a transition period from the regular armies of the countries to the unequal battle fronts containing multinational warring sides. Rise of ISIS terrorist group marked the climactic point of this situation. This is largely driven by the element of intelligence. The best example for this kind of intelligence-based war is promotion of ISIS as a strong militant force using media to create intimidation and terror. The Palestinian Authority, too, takes advantage of this confrontation method as part of efforts to impair the Israeli regime on the world stage.

Accordingly, we can note that in the present conditions West Asia is facing developments that have their own specific characteristics. Actually, the current changes shape the future of the region. Meanwhile, shift in acting mechanisms in the politics and also in battlefield, which is an outcome of untrusted and volatile patterns of alliance, has made predictions for the future of the region to a large extent difficult. This difficulty, in turn, originates from absence of firm coalitions, multitude of actors, and using novel war methods. This complexity is even compounded by the international players' interventions in the region.

By Alwaght