When Yemen war ends?

Alwaght- The negotiation is a way for two or more conflicting groups or ideas to get closer to each other. But just unlike what the nature of negotiations dictates, in many cases the people negotiate to insist on their positions, and so remove the hurdles ahead of pursuit of their specific policy.

In Yemen’s conflict, Saudi Arabia as major side of Yemen’s Ansarullah movement in political and security terms, showed no willingness to a political solution of the Yemeni crisis before peace negotiations held in 2016 in Kuwait. However, Saudi Arabia all of a sudden told Ismail Ould Cheikh Ahmed, the UN special envoy to Yemen, that Riyadh was ready to approve of a round of serious negotiations with the aim of ending the conflict in Yemen. Brigadier General Ahmed al-Assiri, the spokesman for the Saudi army, asserted that the war was drawing to its end.

But this did not happen. Not only the war was not concluded but also during the course of the two weeks that Kuwait peace dialogue was under way, the pounding of Yemeni positions witnessed no easing.

Clearly, Saudi Arabia does not think much about peace, rather, it is looking for a modality through which it could foil the Yemeni revolution that started in 2011 by the youth movement. In fact, Riyadh seeks a political transition process, with smallest possible changes in the form and structure of power in Yemen. This comes while Yemen’s conditions have undergone crucial changes and now the Yemeni opposition groups have gained power in the country, and also now the revolutionaries of today cannot be taken equal to the youths of yesterday Sana’a’s Change Square.

Riyadh regime expects Ansarullah’s engagement in a political game the certain end of which is disappearance of the Yemeni resistant group. In Saudi Arabia’s game, Ansarullah holds no place in security equations, as in the society a surrendered Ansarullah is of no credibility. The kingdom argues that the revolutionary group, after surrender and losing its social credit, has to form a political party and only mind political matters. The outcome of such an approach is clear, and it is completely normal that Ansarullah, which so far sacrificed with thousands of its members, refuses to succumb, and fails to shoulder commitment to a negotiation that produces such an unfair situation.

But the question is not what Saudi Arabia wants and how Ansarullah reacts. The question is that could Riyadh impose what it wants on the Yemenis? The answer to the question clarifies the reasons behind a protracted war that was set to last only ten days with great results.

With these in mind, no doubt should remain that the foreign war on Yemen and the intra-Yemeni groups’ clashes see an end only when Riyadh comes up with the notion that it is unlikely to make gains with the force of the weapons.

By Al Waght