19 Apr 2024
Wednesday 8 February 2017 - 09:52
Story Code : 250210

Delicacy of diplomacy: Is Russia ready to side with Washington against Iran?

Sputnik- Following recent remarks made by President Trump branding Iran "the number one terrorist state," and US media outlets claiming that the Trump administration is "looking to divide Russia's relations with Tehran," Russian political analysts explain to Sputnik why Moscow should not fly into US' arms but instead defend its ally in the Middle East.






Donald Trump has recently voiced some very critical comments aboutIran.
In the first part ofthe interview withFox News host Bill OReilly, which was published onSunday, Trump said "they [Iran] have total disregard forour country, theyre the number one terrorist state, theyre sending money all overthe place and weapons."


The president also revived his criticism ofthe 2015 nuclear deal betweenIran and six world powers which lifted billions ineconomic sanctions onTehran inexchange forthe country curtailing its nuclear weapons program, calling it "the worst deal he's ever seen negotiated."
On the same very day, the US media reported that the Trump administration was looking to 'drive a wedge' betweenRussia and Iran inits effort toimprove relations withMoscow while confronting Tehran.


Commenting onthe abovereports, Russian political and military analysts explained toSputnik why Moscow should not fly intoUS' arms butdefend its ally inthe Middle East.
"The logic ofthe White House is fairly simple: any deterioration ofrelations whether Russian-Iranian or Russian-Turkish is strengthening the US position inthe region," defense analyst, Deputy Director ofthe Institute ofCIS (Commonwealth ofIndependent States), Lieutenant Colonel Vladimir Evseev explained toSputnik.


He further elaborated that Washington is interested inweakening Russian-Iranian and Russian-Turkish ties inorder todevelop stronger positions particularly inSyria.

However, he said, there is the other side ofthe coin.
"There are reports that the Israeli lobby have been rendering support toDonald Trump duringhis election campaign. Thus he might have certain obligations beforethe state ofIsrael underthe promises he might have given duringhis presidential campaign," he told Sputnik.


Hence, the defense analyst suggested, restoring relations withIsrael might be one ofthe most likely foreign policy actions ofthe new US administration.

The relations betweenWashington and Jerusalem soured atthe end ofDecember when the US refused toveto the UN Security Council resolution condemning Israeli settlements asillegal, butsilently supported it byabstaining.

Later, US diplomatic sources admitted that it was a "political decision" made byPresident Obama.

Vladimir Evseev therefore said that President Trump's anti-Iranian rhetoric is consistent withhis negative remarks duringthe elections campaign aboutthe nuclear deal withIran, which his Democratic competitor Clinton also spoke against.
"The US can't block this agreement because it is supported bythe corresponding resolution ofthe UN Security Council and is a multipartite deal. However it will try tocreate conditions so that the deal cannot be implemented," the expert said.


He further noted that the newly imposed US sanctions onIran tend tosupport this assumption.

Timofey Bordachev, Director ofthe Center forComprehensive European and International Studies ofthe Faculty ofWorld Economy and International Affairs atRussias Higher School ofEconomics told Sputnik that neither Trump nor his administration would be a straight-forward partner forRussia.

"They could bring a number ofunexpected surprises especially withregards tosome key issues ofthe bilateral relations betweenour two countries," he said.
Meanwhile Vice-President ofthe International Public Foundation "Experimental Creative Center" Yury Byaly has suggested that the Trump Administration will use political horse-trading inits foreign policy and will repeatedly encourage the Kremlin tobuddy upagainst a third country, be it Iran or China.


At the same time the political analyst does not rule outthat the US media reports onthe US aim todivide Russia and Iran might be fake news and internal provocation aimed atpreventing Trump fromnormalizing relations withRussia.
"The forces not interested inthis normalization could have organized such a 'leak' aboutan a priori unacceptable variant forRussia thus putting both Moscow and Washington intoa deadlock," Byaly told Sputnik.


However Vladimir Evseev noted that neither Russian-Iranian nor Russian-Chinese relations nor the relations withany other country should be regarded inthe context ofRussian-American relations.


"Those are different tracks which should not intersect. If the Kremlin succeeds insticking tosuch a line ofbehavior it will be able tocontinue its mutually beneficial cooperation withIran, including militarily, withoutpaying any attention tothe so-called 'overseas signals'," he said.


Meanwhile Boris Dolgov, a senior fellow atthe Moscow-based Center forArab and Islamic Studies atthe Russian Institute ofOriental Studies told Sputnik that Russia needs topersuade the Trump administration that Iran poses no serious threat toit, if Moscow wants tomaintain its alliance withIran.

"Russia has totreat US media reports that Washington wants to "drive a wedge" betweenTehran and Moscow seriously. However I think that Russia, onits part, should try topersuade Washington that Iran poses no threat either toit or toits ally Israel," he said.
The political analyst further noted that Iranians have repeatedly stressed that the Palestinian issue remains the core reason fortheir standoff withIsrael and solving it would mean the end ofthe conflict betweenthe two countries. Until it exists it will only further pump upthe aggressive rhetoric," the expert finally stated.



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